Her Newton Abbot win on 28 September over 2m5½f came in this grade on good ground, giving her a strong recent claim. That followed seconds at Newton Abbot in July and Stratford in August, continuing a consistent sequence of hurdle performances since her March Huntingdon success. She is up 5lb to 110, which asks more, but today's 2m5f is only half a furlong shorter than her latest winning trip. Alan King has enjoyed plenty of success at Warwick, with 92 winners from 486 runners at the course.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 10
trainer + sireAlan King + Passing Glance (Sire) has a good record on good ground over Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 1/10 wins (10%), 6/10 top-three (60%).
trainer + jockey + dam’s sireAlan King + Tom Bellamy + Midnight Legend (Dam's sire) has a good record in handicap - 3/11 wins (27.3%), 8/11 top-three (72.7%).
trainer + jockey + dam’s sireAlan King + Tom Bellamy + Midnight Legend (Dam's sire) has a good record on good ground - 3/15 wins (20%), 12/15 top-three (80%).
trainer + jockey + sireAlan King + Tom Bellamy + Passing Glance (Sire) has a good record in handicap - 3/12 wins (25%), 8/12 top-three (66.7%).
His June win here over 2m3f in this grade on good ground gives him a persuasive case on his return to hurdles. Today's mark of 111 is 6lb above that success, so he needs more than a simple repeat of that performance. He was beaten 24 and a quarter lengths in a Class 2 Flat race at Goodwood on 31 July and returns from 95 days off. Olly Murphy and Sean Bowen have combined for six winners from 23 runners in the past fortnight, a clear positive for the partnership.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 12
trainer + jockeyOlly Murphy + Sean Bowen has a good record when Down 2 Plus Classes - 16/38 wins (42.1%), 27/38 top-three (71.0%).
trainer + jockeyOlly Murphy + Sean Bowen has a good record on good ground over Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 20/73 wins (27.4%), 48/73 top-three (65.8%).
trainer + jockeyOlly Murphy + Sean Bowen has a good record in Class 4 handicap - 43/168 wins (25.6%), 99/168 top-three (58.9%).
trainer + jockeyOlly Murphy + Sean Bowen has a good record over Hurdle Staying 21 23f handicaps - 22/107 wins (20.6%), 60/107 top-three (56.1%).
Concerns 1
sireCamelot (Sire) has a poor win record in Class 4 over Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 0/20 wins (0%), 4/20 top-three (20%).
Has to put a heavy Chepstow defeat behind him after finishing eleventh over 2m3½f on good to soft on 9 October. His March second at Hereford on good ground was more encouraging, beaten three lengths and three quarters from a rating of 113. He is now 5lb lower on 108, and the return from good to soft to good ground offers encouragement on that Hereford evidence. Today's 2m5f also takes him a furlong and a half further than at Chepstow, placing a greater emphasis on stamina than that latest assignment.
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Positives & Concerns
Concerns 8
jockeyConor Ring has a poor win record in None - 38/872 wins (4.4%), 173/872 top-three (19.8%).
jockeyConor Ring has a poor win record on good ground - 24/504 wins (4.8%), 112/504 top-three (22.2%).
Won a Class 4 hurdle at Stratford on 17 October over 2m6f on good ground, giving him a strong recent result to build on. He stays in the same grade and encounters good ground again, with today's 2m5f asking him to come back a furlong in trip. A mark of 108 is just 2lb above his Stratford winning rating, so the rise does not look prohibitive. Jack Hogan has ridden two winners from 11 mounts in the past fortnight, offering a further positive for his chance.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 7
trainer + jockeyFergal O'Brien + Jack Hogan has a good record in Class 4 handicap - 12/42 wins (28.6%), 17/42 top-three (40.5%).
trainer + jockeyFergal O'Brien + Jack Hogan has a good record when changing distance (Down 1f To 2f) - 3/16 wins (18.8%), 10/16 top-three (62.5%).
jockeyJack Hogan has a good record at Warwick on good ground - 4/14 wins (28.6%), 5/14 top-three (35.7%).
sireBalko (Sire) has a good record on good ground over Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 12/58 wins (20.7%), 29/58 top-three (50%).
His Fontwell second in September gives him a chance, beaten two lengths in Class 4 company from the same mark of 103 he races from here. He needs to put a heavy defeat behind him, however, having finished eleventh at Worcester on 25 September, 46 lengths behind the winner. That was a Class 2 contest, so this return to Class 4 offers relief, although two miles and five furlongs is a furlong further. The O'Neill partnership has enjoyed five winners from 16 runners in the past fortnight, another positive as he seeks to recover his Fontwell form.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 7
jockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr. has a good record when Down 2 Plus Classes - 20/56 wins (35.7%), 34/56 top-three (60.7%).
trainer + jockeyJonjo & A.J. O'Neill + Jonjo O'Neill Jr. has a good record when Down 2 Plus Classes - 7/24 wins (29.2%), 12/24 top-three (50%).
trainerJonjo & A.J. O'Neill has a good record when Down 2 Plus Classes - 10/33 wins (30.3%), 18/33 top-three (54.5%).
trainer + jockeyJonjo & A.J. O'Neill + Jonjo O'Neill Jr. has a good record when moving from Hurdle Standard 18 20f to Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 7/26 wins (26.9%), 13/26 top-three (50%).
Won over 2m5½f at Fontwell on 15 October, a success on good to soft that gives her something positive to build on. She now moves from Class 5 to Class 4 and races from 103, fully 10lb above her rating for that win. She was second on good ground at Hereford in April, but beaten 26 lengths, so that placing needs treating with some caution. Harry Cobden brings plenty of Warwick experience, having ridden 20 winners from 105 mounts at the course.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 12
trainer + jockeyEmma Lavelle + Harry Cobden has a good record over Hurdle Staying 21 23f handicaps - 4/15 wins (26.7%), 8/15 top-three (53.3%).
trainer + jockeyEmma Lavelle + Harry Cobden has a good record on good ground over Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 5/16 wins (31.3%), 8/16 top-three (50%).
trainer + jockeyEmma Lavelle + Harry Cobden has a good record over Hurdle Staying 21 23f handicaps - 4/15 wins (26.7%), 8/15 top-three (53.3%).
dam’s sireBlack Sam Bellamy (Dam's sire) has a good record in Class 4 over Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 4/14 wins (28.6%), 10/14 top-three (71.4%).
Seventh over two miles on good ground at Ludlow on 10 May, beaten 61 lengths, he needs a substantial revival to make an impact in this Class 4 hurdle. He returns after 177 days off from a mark of 100, which is 8lb lower than for that Ludlow appearance. Today's two miles and five furlongs represents a five-furlong increase from his latest run. He was pulled up over two miles and five and a half furlongs at Hereford in October 2025, so that longer-distance form offers little reassurance.
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Positives & Concerns
Concerns 3
jockeyLewis Stones has a poor win record in Field 9 12 - 12/240 wins (5%), 59/240 top-three (24.6%).
jockeyLewis Stones has a poor win record in Class 4 handicap - 3/82 wins (3.7%), 20/82 top-three (24.4%).
Won over this two-mile-five-furlong trip at Ludlow in February, then went close when second over two miles and seven furlongs at Bangor in March. His mark of 93 is 9lb above the Ludlow winning rating, so returning to that successful distance still leaves him with more to do. He fell over three miles at Ffos Las in April and returns from 205 days off, with that interruption tempering enthusiasm. This is a step up from the Class 5 company of those spring efforts, though his Bangor second gives encouragement for today's good ground.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 1
jockeyHarry Atkins has a good record in Field 9 12 - 12/59 wins (20.3%), 19/59 top-three (32.2%).
Concerns 8
trainerSheila Lewis has a poor win record in None - 16/328 wins (4.9%), 60/328 top-three (18.3%).
trainerSheila Lewis has a poor win record on good ground - 11/230 wins (4.8%), 40/230 top-three (17.4%).
His fifth at Market Rasen in September was more encouraging than the placing suggests, beaten three and a half lengths over two miles and seven furlongs. A mark of 88 is 6lb below his Worcester hurdle-winning rating from September 2024, giving him some scope on that older form. He drops back two furlongs to two miles and five furlongs here, although the move from Class 5 to Class 4 asks more of him. Sam Twiston-Davies has ridden seven winners from 34 mounts in the past fortnight, providing encouragement as the gelding builds on that closer finish.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 9
trainer + jockeyNigel & Willy Twiston-Davies + Sam Twiston-Davies has a good record when Up 1 Class - 5/24 wins (20.8%), 14/24 top-three (58.3%).
trainerNigel & Willy Twiston-Davies has a good record on good ground over Hurdle Staying 21 23f - 8/39 wins (20.5%), 19/39 top-three (48.7%).
trainer + jockeyNigel & Willy Twiston-Davies + Sam Twiston-Davies has a good record in None - 33/136 wins (24.3%), 78/136 top-three (57.4%).
trainer + jockeyNigel & Willy Twiston-Davies + Sam Twiston-Davies has a good record on good ground - 17/82 wins (20.7%), 49/82 top-three (59.8%).
Well beaten in her recent hurdle races, including when fifth at Newton Abbot on 19 July, 44 and a half lengths behind the winner. Her previous tenth at Worcester came over 2m4f on good ground, so dropping in distance does not offer an obvious answer to those struggles. A mark of 80 is 5lb lower than at Newton Abbot, although she needs to show she can take advantage of that easing. She returns from 107 days off over 2m5f, a reduction of five and a half furlongs from her latest outing over 3m2½f.
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Positives & Concerns
Concerns 8
jockeyShane Quinlan has a poor win record in None - 11/249 wins (4.4%), 52/249 top-three (20.9%).
jockeyShane Quinlan has a poor win record on good ground - 10/201 wins (5.0%), 47/201 top-three (23.4%).
Context updated 3 Nov 2026, 05:15
Source records span 3 Nov 2026, 09:25 to 3 Nov 2026, 09:25. Source completeness is unverified.