Successive seconds at Redcar and Musselburgh give him solid claims, with the latter coming in Class 3 company over seven furlongs on good to soft. He drops to Class 5 and returns to six furlongs, the trip over which he was beaten three quarters of a length at Redcar in September. His July third at Newcastle also offers encouragement for the all-weather, albeit on standard to slow rather than today's standard going. Daniel Muscutt has ridden five winners from 30 mounts in the past fortnight, adding a positive from the saddle.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 9
trainer + dam’s sireMichael Appleby + Cape Cross (Dam's sire) has a good record on standard all-weather over 6f-7f trips - 7/30 wins (23.3%), 18/30 top-three (60%).
trainer + dam’s sireMichael Appleby + Cape Cross (Dam's sire) has a good record when changing distance (Down 1f To 2f) - 3/13 wins (23.1%), 6/13 top-three (46.1%).
trainer + dam’s sireMichael Appleby + Cape Cross (Dam's sire) has a good record when changing trip - 6/28 wins (21.4%), 14/28 top-three (50%).
jockey + sireDaniel Muscutt + Blue Point (Sire) has a good record when changing trip - 3/16 wins (18.8%), 9/16 top-three (56.3%).
Concerns 1
trainer + jockeyMichael Appleby + Daniel Muscutt has a poor win record in 15 30 Days - 1/24 wins (4.2%), 5/24 top-three (20.8%).
Runner-up over six furlongs at Haydock in September and Nottingham in October, she brings solid recent form to this lower grade. The Haydock effort came in Class 2 company on heavy ground, while her Nottingham second was on good, showing she has been effective in differing turf conditions. She now tackles a Class 5 handicap from 73, 2lb below the rating she held when beaten two and three quarter lengths at Nottingham. David Probert has ridden six winners from 48 mounts in the past fortnight and arrives in useful form.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 3
jockey + sireDavid Probert + Dark Angel (Sire) has a good record over 6f-7f trips handicaps - 20/94 wins (21.3%), 43/94 top-three (45.7%).
jockey + sireDavid Probert + Dark Angel (Sire) has a good record in Nursery - 3/10 wins (30%), 6/10 top-three (60%).
trainer + dam’s sireHugo Palmer + Sepoy (Dam's sire) has a good record on standard all-weather - 3/14 wins (21.4%), 5/14 top-three (35.7%).
Her August win at Brighton came over six furlongs in Class 5 company on good to firm, so the trip and grade are within reach. She failed to match that when tenth at Leicester in September, beaten nine and a half lengths over the same distance on good ground. She is now rated 71, 3lb lower than at Leicester, but needs to put that disappointing effort behind her. Her July fifth at Southwell, beaten three and a quarter lengths on standard going, also gives her something to build on back on the all-weather.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 7
jockey + dam’s sireKaiya Fraser + Exceed And Excel (Dam's sire) has a good record on standard all-weather over 6f-7f trips - 8/21 wins (38.1%), 12/21 top-three (57.1%).
jockey + dam’s sireKaiya Fraser + Exceed And Excel (Dam's sire) has a good record over 6f-7f trips handicaps - 6/22 wins (27.3%), 12/22 top-three (54.5%).
jockey + dam’s sireKaiya Fraser + Exceed And Excel (Dam's sire) has a good record when changing trip - 7/27 wins (25.9%), 12/27 top-three (44.4%).
damRed Box (Dam) has a good record over 6f-7f trips handicaps - 5/23 wins (21.7%), 9/23 top-three (39.1%).
A five-furlong winner at Southwell in April, she has already shown she can handle Standard all-weather conditions. Her third over six furlongs at Kempton in May, beaten a length and three quarters on Standard to Slow, also offers encouragement for this trip. She was heavily beaten at Newmarket in August and finished tenth at Lingfield on 10 September, 12 lengths adrift. A mark of 71 is 4lb lower than at Lingfield, but after 53 days off she needs to rediscover that spring form.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 3
trainer + dam’s sireCharlie Fellowes + Footstepsinthesand (Dam's sire) has a good record on standard all-weather over 6f-7f trips - 2/10 wins (20%), 5/10 top-three (50%).
trainer + dam’s sireCharlie Fellowes + Footstepsinthesand (Dam's sire) has a good record when changing trip - 3/13 wins (23.1%), 5/13 top-three (38.5%).
trainer + dam’s sireCharlie Fellowes + Footstepsinthesand (Dam's sire) has a good record on standard all-weather - 3/11 wins (27.3%), 6/11 top-three (54.5%).
Concerns 4
sireSupremacy (Sire) has a poor win record on standard all-weather - 7/149 wins (4.7%), 30/149 top-three (20.1%).
sireSupremacy (Sire) has a poor win record on standard all-weather over 6f-7f trips - 3/102 wins (2.9%), 18/102 top-three (17.6%).
Her six-furlong success at Lingfield on 15 July came in this grade on good to firm, giving her a solid form reference for today's trip. A mark of 70 puts her 2lb below the rating she won from there, which gives her a reasonable chance on those terms. She was fourth over five furlongs at Bath on 19 October, beaten two lengths on good to soft, and now steps back up a furlong. Her second at Nottingham in May, beaten half a length over six furlongs, adds encouragement for that change.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 4
trainer + jockeyJamie Osborne + William Carver has a good record over 6f-7f trips Nurserys - 2/10 wins (20%), 2/10 top-three (20%).
damWhite Daffodil (Dam) has a good record in Class 5 over 6f-7f trips - 2/15 wins (13.3%), 9/15 top-three (60%).
trainer + jockeyJamie Osborne + William Carver has a good record in Nursery - 3/13 wins (23.1%), 3/13 top-three (23.1%).
damWhite Daffodil (Dam) has a good record on standard all-weather - 0/15 wins (0%), 9/15 top-three (60%).
Concerns 5
sireSupremacy (Sire) has a poor win record on standard all-weather - 7/149 wins (4.7%), 30/149 top-three (20.1%).
sireSupremacy (Sire) has a poor win record on standard all-weather over 6f-7f trips - 3/102 wins (2.9%), 18/102 top-three (17.6%).
Her June second over six furlongs at Goodwood on soft ground is a fair piece of form for this Class 5 contest. She was less persuasive when fourth at Chester in September, beaten six lengths over the same trip in this grade. Her mark of 70 is 3lb lower than at Chester, giving her a little more room for manoeuvre in this handicap. Richard Hughes and Finley Marsh have won 24 of their 87 races together here, an encouraging course record for her return to the all-weather.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 11
trainer + jockeyRichard Hughes + Finley Marsh has a good record at Chelmsford (aw) over 6f-7f trips - 14/41 wins (34.1%), 25/41 top-three (61.0%).
trainer + jockeyRichard Hughes + Finley Marsh has a good record over 6f-7f trips Nurserys - 11/44 wins (25%), 21/44 top-three (47.7%).
trainer + jockeyRichard Hughes + Finley Marsh has a good record at Chelmsford (aw) on standard all-weather - 24/87 wins (27.6%), 50/87 top-three (57.5%).
trainer + jockey + dam’s sireRichard Hughes + Finley Marsh + Acclamation (Dam's sire) has a good record over 6f-7f trips handicaps - 3/11 wins (27.3%), 5/11 top-three (45.5%).
His sixth at Kempton on 12 October, beaten seven and three quarters of a length over seven furlongs in Class 4, leaves room for improvement. The drop to six furlongs and Class 5 gives him a different opportunity, with his mark also eased 3lb to 68. His June third at Windsor over six furlongs and 12 yards on good to firm offers encouragement for the return to sprinting. Richard Hannon and Sean Levey have combined for three winners from 14 runners in the past fortnight, adding a positive from the partnership.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 1
dam’s sireCamacho (Dam's sire) has a good record over 6f-7f trips Nurserys - 12/45 wins (26.7%), 23/45 top-three (51.1%).
His August second at Ayr, beaten a length and three quarters over six furlongs on good ground, gives him a credible chance in this grade. He has since finished third at Chepstow and Ffos Las, although the latest effort on soft ground left him six and a quarter lengths behind the winner. He runs from 67 here, just 1lb below his Ffos Las rating, so the easing in his mark is a small one. David Egan's 50 course winners bring useful experience to the saddle for this six-furlong handicap.
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Positives & Concerns
No positives or concerns have been published for this runner.
Fourth at Kempton on 9 October, beaten a length and a quarter over six furlongs in Class 5, he ran well from today's mark of 66. He had won over the same course and distance on 5 August in Class 6, when racing from 62. That leaves him 4lb above his winning mark, but the October effort suggests the higher rating is within reach. His August third at Wolverhampton over six furlongs on Standard also offers encouragement for the conditions he encounters here.
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Positives & Concerns
Concerns 2
trainerLemos De Souza has a poor win record at Chelmsford (aw) - 0/21 wins (0%), 5/21 top-three (23.8%).
trainerLemos De Souza has a poor win record at Chelmsford (aw) on standard all-weather - 0/21 wins (0%), 5/21 top-three (23.8%).
A close fourth at Wolverhampton on 23 October, beaten a length and a half over six furlongs on Standard, suggests she remains competitive from her current mark. That followed a Class 6 success over five and a half furlongs at Bath in September, achieved on good to firm. She now moves up to Class 5 from a mark 4lb above her Bath winning figure, so this asks a little more. Harry Vigors has ridden four winners from 14 rides in the past fortnight, providing a further positive.
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Positives & Concerns
Positives 5
sirePinatubo (Sire) has a good record over 6f-7f trips Nurserys - 8/35 wins (22.9%), 17/35 top-three (48.6%).
jockeyHarry Vigors has a good record at Chelmsford (aw) on standard all-weather - 2/10 wins (20%), 4/10 top-three (40%).
sirePinatubo (Sire) has a good record in Nursery - 12/47 wins (25.5%), 26/47 top-three (55.3%).
damParsnip (Dam) has a good record in Nursery - 4/13 wins (30.8%), 5/13 top-three (38.5%).
Concerns 1
damParsnip (Dam) has a poor win record in 6f-7f trips - 0/27 wins (0%), 2/27 top-three (7.4%).
Context updated 2 Nov 2026, 05:15
Source records span 2 Nov 2026, 09:25 to 2 Nov 2026, 09:25. Source completeness is unverified.